Research & Analysis
AI-generated financial analysis with historical chart exhibits and event annotations. Each report covers a distinct analytical question with data-driven narrative and supporting visualizations.
The technical breakdown signal for crude oil (CL=F) is derived from an event-study backtest spanning January 2000 through June 2026 — approximately 26 years of futures price history. The engine identi…
The signal engine analyzed 100 confirmed RSI-crosses-above-70 events in GC=F spanning January 2001 through June 2026 — a meaningful sample by technical backtest standards, though gold's behavior acros…
This analysis draws on 21 confirmed death cross events in HG=F copper futures spanning June 2001 through the present, derived from 2,489 signal-state days via run-start deduplication. The sample of 21…
The technical signal engine identified **44 RSI-below-30 crossing events** in NG=F spanning January 2000 through June 2026 — a 26-year window that captures multiple complete natural gas price cycles, …
This analysis is built on 46 confirmed signal crossings derived from 336 state-days of the death cross / RSI-below-35 condition in CL=F (WTI crude futures) spanning June 2001 through mid-2026, with th…
This analysis is built on 18 confirmed golden cross events in SI=F (COMEX Silver Futures) spanning January 2002 through June 2026, derived from 3,439 signal state-days via run-start deduplication. Eig…
The signal engine identified **35 distinct RSI-below-30 crossing events** in GC=F spanning from March 2003 through the present (June 2026), derived from 175 contiguous state-days via run-start dedupli…
The signal engine identified **19 effective death cross crossings** on CL=F (WTI Crude futures) spanning June 2001 through the present, derived from 2,475 state-days via run-start deduplication. The f…
This analysis is built on 16 confirmed golden cross events in GC=F (COMEX Gold Futures) spanning June 2001 through mid-2026, derived from 4,333 signal-state days via run-start deduplication. Sixteen o…
This analysis draws from approximately 10 years of farmland value data (2014-2024) during a period that encompasses only one complete Federal Reserve tightening cycle, making this a limited sample for…
This analysis examines four Federal Reserve leadership transitions spanning 20 years (2006-2026), representing the complete universe of chair changes in the modern inflation-targeting era. The chart d…
This analysis draws from approximately 8-10 major oil supply shocks since 2000, spanning the Iraq War (2003), Venezuelan general strike (2002-2003), Libyan Civil War (2011), various Middle East confli…
Gold has traded through approximately 3 major Fed hiking cycles since 2014, providing a limited but instructive sample: the 2015-2018 gradual tightening (9 hikes), the 2022-2023 aggressive campaign (1…
This analysis draws from approximately 15 major drought events affecting U.S. agricultural regions from 1988-2026, with detailed price data available for the benchmark 2012 drought and current 2025-20…
This analysis covers a seven-year period from April 2019 to May 2026, encompassing the complete escalation cycle from initial tanker attacks to full strait closure. The dataset includes 10 documented …
Three-phase analysis across five asset classes: IEEPA shock (gold +97% to cycle peak), seven months of legal uncertainty oscillations (copper ±10% weekly), and Supreme Court reversal (February 2026). …
This analysis covers 12 major Trump tariff announcements from January 2018 through August 2019, representing approximately 20 months of the most intensive trade war period in modern US history. The do…